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Brisbane Property Market – Prices, Trends, Forecast [November 2024]

Himanshu
By Himanshu Updated Nov 7, 2024

Brisbane continues to show strong performance, with dwelling values increasing by 0.7% in October 2024. The city has recorded significant gains throughout the year, maintaining its status as one of the top-performing capital cities.

Brisbane Property Price Growth

Over the past 12 months, Brisbane’s housing market experienced a 13.0% increase in values, showcasing solid annual growth. The median dwelling value now stands at $883,357, highlighting the city’s robust market conditions compared to other capitals.

CoreLogic Home Value Index

Capitals/RegionsMonthQuarterYTDAnnualTotal ReturnGross YieldMedian Value
Brisbane0.7%2.4%10.7%13.0%17.6%3.7%$883,357
For Houses:0.7%2.1%9.7%11.9%16.0%3.5%$974,025
For Units:1.0%3.5%15.8%18.8%24.5%4.5%$669,254
Month
Quarter
Annual
Total Return
Median Value

CoreLogic Home Value Index, Released on November 1, 2024

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Brisbane Housing Market Update | October 2024

Brisbane Property Market Trends

Brisbane has been a standout due to its attractive affordability relative to other major cities and strong population growth. However, stock levels remain more than 20% below the five-year average, favoring sellers and contributing to the upward pressure on prices. The market’s momentum is beginning to ease, with slower monthly growth compared to earlier in the year.

Summary of housing values since the onset of COVID in March 2020 and relative to peak levels (onset of COVID calculated from March 2020).

RegionOnset of COVID to Oct 2024 (%)Onset of COVID to Oct 2024 ($)Change from Series Peak to Oct 2024Series Peak Date
Brisbane66.9%$354,112<at peak>
Regional QLD67.2%$272,419<at peak>
Combined capitals34.4%$229,066<at peak>
Combined regional54.1%$225,917<at peak>
National38.6%$225,360<at peak>
CoreLogic Home Value Index, Released 2nd November 2024

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Brisbane Property Market Forecast

While Brisbane’s property market is expected to maintain positive growth, the pace may continue to moderate due to broader economic conditions such as higher interest rates and affordability constraints. The combination of these factors could temper future gains as the market stabilizes.

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s ongoing adjustments to interest rates will likely play a crucial role in shaping market dynamics, as higher borrowing costs limit purchasing power for many buyers.

Here are some of the most recent forecasts by the big-4 banks in Australia:

  • ANZ predicts a 5-6% increase in capital city property prices in 2024, with Brisbane expected to see the highest rise at 9-10%, Perth property values could go up by 1-11%, Sydney by 4-5%, and Melbourne prices by 2-3%.
  • CBA forecasts a 5% rise in capital city prices, with some variations: Brisbane is anticipated to grow by 6%, Melbourne and Perth by 5%, Sydney by 4%, and Adelaide by 1%.
  • NAB projects a 5.4% average increase across the capitals, with Brisbane expected to see a 6.5% rise, Perth and Adelaide by 6.2%, Melbourne by 5.5%, Sydney by 5%, and Hobart remaining flat.
  • Westpac expects a 6% growth across the combined capitals, with Perth leading at 10%, followed by Brisbane at 8%, Sydney at 6%, Adelaide at 4%, and Melbourne at 3%

Oxford Economics recently released property forecasts predicting where house prices will be in three years.

CityMedian Price* (Houses)Median Price*(Units)Total Price** (%) Growth (Houses)Total Price ** (%) Growth (Units)
Sydney$1.93M$1.09M18%22%
Melbourne$1.28M$0.78M21%20%
Brisbane$1.21M$0.71M19%23%
Adelaide$0.95M$0.69M16%18%
Perth$1.05M$0.64M30%30%
Canberra$1.17M$0.75M19%20%
Hobart$0.86M$0.71M13%16%
Darwin$0.70M$0.46M24%26%
Combined Capitals$1.34M$0.87M20%21%
* By June 2027 ** Over 3 years; Source: Oxford Economics, Pricefinder

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Conclusion for Homeowners

Brisbane remains a lucrative market for homeowners and sellers, but the growth rate is beginning to show signs of slowing. Homeowners should stay informed about economic shifts and local supply changes that could impact property values moving forward.

Next steps

  1. Get a free property report to find out how your property stacks up in the local market.
  2. Get a personalised shortlist of the top performing local agents so you can sell, rent or buy with confidence.
  3. Get a free property appraisal to discover the true value of your property.
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